Although the epidemic of Coronavirus expanding rapidly, affecting markets, production and the global economy in general, the memory market is projected to reverse sooner rather than later, entering a recession cycle which will cause a fairly large price variation. For this reason, if you were thinking of buying RAM now, it may be good to wait for this situation to happen given that prices will tend to drop and, surely, we find the RAM prices lower than ever.
How will the price of RAM evolve in 2020?
The analysis shows that from the demand perspective, the Coronavirus pandemic is severely affecting economic and social activities and will further affect personal consumption capacity, which will inevitably lead to a reduction in demand for memory products like RAM and SSDs.
Specifically, the average prices for RAM and flash memory (NAND) in the first and second quarter of 2020 will continue to increase, mainly due to the low level of customer inventory at the beginning of the year. Although the price trend will continue to rise, manufacturers intend to stock and store, which will fill their inventories with unsold products.
According to Trend Micro Consulting, the real challenge will start in the third quarter. With declining demand, manufacturers will have inventories full of hard-to-liquidate products, driving the memory market into a recession that will cause prices to plummet, dropping considerably, and in fact, is likely to even drop. hit record lows.
So am I waiting to buy RAM?
According to these reports, the supply of DRAM and Flash memory will be limited in 2020, with annual growth rates of just 13% and 32% respectively. Right now most manufacturers' inventories are low, which means that the price of RAM will continue to rise hopelessly for at least halfway through the year.
This means that if you urgently need RAM, you should buy it right now, before prices reach their maximum. If you are not in a hurry, then the recommendation to save money is to wait for the third quarter of the year, because the forecast is that around September-October We will see the historical price lows in RAM.
As for the SSDs, as indicated in the report, their demand will not decrease despite the rise in prices, but they will also have overstock and prices will decrease as of the second half of this year. Not as much as will happen with RAM, but they will go down.
