Bitcoin is designed to have a finite number of cryptocurrencies that can be mined. Estimated calculations show that the last currency is expected to be mined around 2140.
To estimate the price of Bitcoin in the future, several projections have been made, based on different growth models. The best known are the model proposed by Parabolic Trav of the super price trend and the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model of the PlanB.d analyst.
Hal Finney – between $ 10 and $ 21 million
Hal Finney predicted in 2009 that Bitcoin would be priced at $ 10 million. In his estimation, he took into account the average household wealth worldwide and divided it to 21 million BTC. According to this calculation, a BTC would be worth $ 10 million.
Decrypt recalculated the prediction based on current figures and reached a price of $ 18 million per coin.
However, Chainalysis estimates that up to 4 million BTC has been lost, so a recalculation results in $ 21,176,470.58 for a Bitcoin.
Parabolic Trav – $ 10 million
Parabolic analyst Trav has created a parabolic model of the super-trend of rising Bitcoin prices. It closely correlates with the Stock-to-flow proposed by PlanB.
Many investors are unaware of the idea of parabolic growth – however, Bitcoin has already grown by 2,232,111,011.11%. The value is calculated since Marti Malmi sold the first BTC for fiat currency in 2009, to its maximum level of $ 20,000 in 2017.
The model proposed by Parabolic Trav calculates a maximum value of Bitcoin close by $ 10 million. This involves extending the technologies on which cryptocurrencies are based, such as the Internet and smartphones.
Bitcoin is following an S-curve in technology adoption, because although it is a “currency”, it is also a new technology.
PlanB (S2F) – $ 1.2 million in 2025
Stock-to-flow is a model that takes into account how many years it takes to produce the current total supply of an asset. For example, for gold, it takes 62 years of exploitation to produce the maximum world supply.
Regarding Bitcoin, the S2F model proposed by Plan B calculates a parabolic increase that is influenced by the phenomena of half the block rewards.
According to this model, the next halving will set a price of $ 55,000 / BTC. According to this evolution, Digitalek is projecting a price of $ 1,215,730.5 for BTC in 2025.
So, as mentioned above, with a price for a $ 1 million Bitcoin, an investment of $ 100 today turns, in a decade, into $ 11,475.